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內(nèi)容簡介

　　本書包含三篇內(nèi)容。第一篇為體系貢獻率評估理論，主要從裝備的體系化發(fā)展與運用要求出發(fā)，建立了體系貢獻率評估的研究框架，梳理了支撐貢獻率研究的體系工程、系統(tǒng)科學等方面的基礎(chǔ)理論，構(gòu)建了評估基準流程和指標框架，并在每個流程中都有一系列方法作為技術(shù)支撐。第二篇為體系貢獻率評估方法，主要以典型裝備系統(tǒng)體系貢獻率評估方法為基礎(chǔ)，分別從基于OODA的體系貢獻率能效綜合評估方法、面向使命任務(wù)的體系貢獻率能效綜合評估方法，以及面向規(guī)劃計劃的項目體系貢獻率評估方法三方面開展評估方法研究。第三篇為體系貢獻率評估應(yīng)用，主要圍繞裝備系統(tǒng)體系貢獻率和裝備項目體系貢獻率兩方面的典型案例進行應(yīng)用驗證。本書可作為戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃部門、裝備論證部門、試驗鑒定基地和國防工業(yè)總體部門開展裝備規(guī)劃論證、裝備體系建設(shè)與運用等工作的參考書，也可以作為系統(tǒng)工程專業(yè)研究生實踐教學的參考書。

作者簡介

　　李小波，男，湖南衡南人。2013年獲得國防科技大學系統(tǒng)工程專業(yè)博士學位，現(xiàn)為國防科技大學系統(tǒng)工程學院副教授，中國仿真學會人工社會專委會委員。主要研究方向為戰(zhàn)略管理與仿真預(yù)實踐、體系設(shè)計與貢獻率評估。發(fā)表系統(tǒng)工程、建模仿真論文50余篇，其中SCI檢索10余篇，獲得國家發(fā)明專利4項。第一作者論文獲得2012亞洲仿真會議最佳論文獎、2018年中國仿真大會優(yōu)秀論文獎。

圖書目錄

第一篇體系貢獻率評估理論
第1 章體系貢獻率評估概述·························································.002
1.1 戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃視野下的體系貢獻率問題背景···································.002
1.1.1 體系貢獻率：使命組織發(fā)展的核心價值觀························.002
1.1.2 面向戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃研究的體系貢獻率問題分析························.004
1.2 體系貢獻率的概念特性························································.008
1.2.1 體系貢獻率的概念內(nèi)涵················································.008
1.2.2 體系貢獻率的基本特性················································.011
1.3 體系貢獻率評估的研究框架··················································.012
1.3.1 問題域研究框架·························································.012
1.3.2 技術(shù)域研究框架·························································.014
1.3.3 總體研究框架····························································.014
1.4 體系貢獻率評估的研究進展··················································.015
1.4.1 國內(nèi)研究進展綜述······················································.015
1.4.2 國外研究進展綜述······················································.023
1.4.3 研究進展小結(jié)····························································.026
1.4.4 重點研究方向····························································.027
第2 章體系貢獻率評估的基礎(chǔ)理論··············································.029
2.1 復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)與復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)···························································.029
2.1.1 復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)的凈貢獻概念················································.029
2.1.2 復(fù)雜適應(yīng)系統(tǒng)理論······················································.029
2.1.3 復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)理論····························································.030
2.1.4 超網(wǎng)絡(luò)理論·······························································.030
2.2 體系工程與能力機理···························································.031
2.2.1 體系貢獻率的能力基準：基于能力的體系工程思想············.031
2.2.2 體系貢獻率的作用原理：體系網(wǎng)絡(luò)任務(wù)鏈路動量原理·········.035
2.2.3 體系貢獻率的成因機理：體系協(xié)同、適應(yīng)與層次涌現(xiàn)特性···.037
2.2.4 體系貢獻率的能力培育：作戰(zhàn)體系能力生成周期模型·········.040
2.3 體系能力與效能及特性評估··················································.040
2.3.1 體系能力評估····························································.041
2.3.2 體系效能評估····························································.048
2.3.3 體系特性評估····························································.050
2.4 體系仿真實驗與認知演化計算···············································.052
2.4.1 體系仿真實驗····························································.052
2.4.2 認知演化計算····························································.058
2.4.3 體系動力學仿真·························································.064
第3 章體系貢獻率評估的基準流程··············································.065
3.1 體系貢獻率評估需求分析·····················································.065
3.1.1 國家安全戰(zhàn)略需求分析················································.066
3.1.2 重要作戰(zhàn)方向分析······················································.067
3.1.3 體系使命能力分析······················································.068
3.1.4 作戰(zhàn)任務(wù)活動分析······················································.069
3.1.5 裝備功能要求分析······················································.070
3.1.6 裝備評估需求分析······················································.071
3.2 體系貢獻率評估方案設(shè)計·····················································.072
3.2.1 明確評估問題對象······················································.072
3.2.2 設(shè)置軍事作戰(zhàn)想定······················································.075
3.2.3 構(gòu)建評估指標框架······················································.076
3.2.4 擬制總體評估方案······················································.077
3.3 體系貢獻率全局能力評估·····················································.078
3.3.1 能力評估模型構(gòu)建······················································.079
3.3.2 多源數(shù)據(jù)獲取融合······················································.080
3.3.3 能力評估模型解算······················································.081
3.3.4 能力貢獻結(jié)果計算······················································.081
3.3.5 能力評估結(jié)果分析······················································.082
3.4 體系貢獻率重點效能評估·····················································.083
3.4.1 效能評估方案制定······················································.084
3.4.2 效能仿真想定設(shè)置······················································.084
3.4.3 效能仿真實驗設(shè)計······················································.085
3.4.4 仿真模型開發(fā)集成······················································.085
3.4.5 仿真實驗運行表現(xiàn)······