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內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介

　　內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介羅伯特·W·科爾比的《證券市場(chǎng)技術(shù)分析百科全書》（原著第二版）由鄭三江、尹夢(mèng)秋組織翻譯。該書以客觀的量化交易結(jié)果為依據(jù)，包括了100多種交易理念和技術(shù)指標(biāo)，讀者可以直接查看交易系統(tǒng)的業(yè)績(jī)好壞。在證券市場(chǎng)投資決策中，交易者既需要熟悉市場(chǎng)基本面，又需要在把握買賣時(shí)點(diǎn)時(shí)使用市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)。不同的交易者對(duì)技術(shù)指標(biāo)的理解深度和廣度不同，使用方法也存在差異，其中少數(shù)精明的投資者會(huì)基于過去的市場(chǎng)行為評(píng)估技術(shù)指標(biāo)，并確定指標(biāo)參數(shù)，從投資中獲取超額收益。本書詳細(xì)回答了技術(shù)性策略需要考慮的因素、選取市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)的方法和技巧以及如何構(gòu)建指標(biāo)體系并設(shè)計(jì)參數(shù)等。書中介紹了市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)的優(yōu)點(diǎn)、指標(biāo)回測(cè)方法與步驟以及交易系統(tǒng)的構(gòu)建規(guī)則。特別地，系統(tǒng)介紹了一百多種市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)，并對(duì)多數(shù)技術(shù)指標(biāo)，通過可用歷史數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了回溯測(cè)試，展示出各指標(biāo)的實(shí)際預(yù)測(cè)價(jià)值和優(yōu)缺點(diǎn)。讀者可以根據(jù)自己的需要，將適合的指標(biāo)加入到適合自己的交易系統(tǒng)中，通過精確量化，找到特定的決策規(guī)則，實(shí)現(xiàn)利潤(rùn)化和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)小化。

作者簡(jiǎn)介

　　作者簡(jiǎn)介作者：（美）羅伯特·W·科爾比美國(guó)大型金融服務(wù)集團(tuán)公司CMT董事長(zhǎng)兼首席投資策略師，市場(chǎng)技術(shù)分析師協(xié)會(huì)（MTA）成員，紐約大學(xué)和紐約金融學(xué)院的兼職教授。在創(chuàng)立CMT之前，科爾比曾在幾家華爾街大公司擔(dān)任自營(yíng)交易員、技術(shù)分析師和基本面分析師，然后擔(dān)任機(jī)構(gòu)、私人投資者和交易員的顧問，提供技術(shù)分析報(bào)告以及為客戶量身定制的研究服務(wù)和交易系統(tǒng)。在此過程中，他親眼目睹了各種大肆向公眾宣傳和兜售的“買入并持有”、“資產(chǎn)配置再平衡”等策略的巨大失敗。科爾比認(rèn)為，投資者應(yīng)該有一個(gè)更好的選擇，于是他創(chuàng)立了CMT，利用他經(jīng)受住時(shí)間考驗(yàn)的研究，幫助投資者從傳統(tǒng)交易模式的失敗中恢復(fù)過來，并走向輝煌——無論股市處于牛市還是熊市背景。他的客戶包括世界上非常有名的成功交易員和投資者。多年來，科爾比撰寫了大量關(guān)于投資策略、研究方法、基本指標(biāo)和圖表模式解釋的論文，發(fā)表在《福布斯》、《機(jī)構(gòu)投資者》、《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》、《投資者商業(yè)日?qǐng)?bào)》等美國(guó)幾乎所有有影響力的專業(yè)媒體上。

圖書目錄

目錄
部分市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)評(píng)價(jià)································ １
市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)簡(jiǎn)介································２
市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)的前行模擬為跨時(shí)持續(xù)盈利提供可能··················７
找到適用你的市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)··························２１
關(guān)于市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)、模型及交易系統(tǒng)的其他觀點(diǎn)················３１
第二部分市場(chǎng)技術(shù)指標(biāo)···························３９
廣量指標(biāo)································４０
累積/派發(fā)線 (ＡＤ)·····························４４
累積擺動(dòng)指標(biāo) (ＡＳＩ) ···························４７
自適應(yīng)移動(dòng)平均線 (ＡＭＡ) ·························５１
漲跌背離擺動(dòng)指標(biāo) (ＡＤＤＯ) ························５２
漲跌線指標(biāo) (Ａ－Ｄ線)···························５２
非累積漲跌線: 休斯寬度動(dòng)量擺動(dòng)指標(biāo)·····················５９
八個(gè)參數(shù)的百分比休斯寬度動(dòng)量擺動(dòng)指標(biāo)····················６５
漲跌比率指標(biāo) ·······························６６
投資顧問情緒指標(biāo)······························６９
ＡＤＸ (平均動(dòng)向) ·····························７３
美國(guó)個(gè)人投資者協(xié)會(huì)調(diào)查 ··························７３
安德魯音叉線: 中線方法···························７４
阿姆斯的簡(jiǎn)易波動(dòng)指標(biāo) (ＥＭＶ) ·······················７９
阿姆斯的短線交易指數(shù) (ＴＲＩＮ，ＭＫＤＳ) ·················８２
阿隆指標(biāo)，阿隆擺動(dòng)指標(biāo)···························９１
占星術(shù)，天文周期的金融應(yīng)用·························９７
占星術(shù)，長(zhǎng)期周期·····························１０１
平均動(dòng)向指標(biāo) (ＡＤＸ) ··························１０２
平均真實(shí)波幅·······························１０２
黑箱系統(tǒng)·································１０３
布林線··································１０３
布林帶寬指標(biāo)·······························１０９
博爾頓—特倫布萊指標(biāo)···························１１０
括括弧，括弧，動(dòng)態(tài)括弧··························１１１
寬度漲跌比指標(biāo): 寬度沖力·························１１２
好友指數(shù) ································１１７
看漲—看跌美元價(jià)值流向線 (ＣＰＦＬ) ···················１１９
看漲—看跌美元價(jià)值比率 ·························１２３
看漲—看跌期權(quán)費(fèi)比率 ··························１２６
看漲—看跌期權(quán)成交量比率·························１３０
蔡金的資金流指標(biāo)·····························１３３
錢德動(dòng)量擺動(dòng)指標(biāo) (ＣＭＯ) ························１３４
統(tǒng)計(jì)顯著性卡方檢驗(yàn)····························１３７
熔斷、每日價(jià)格限制、停牌、交易限制··················１３９
多重技術(shù)指標(biāo)組合·····························１４０
交易商持倉(cāng)報(bào)告······························１４１
商品期貨通道指標(biāo) (ＣＣＩ) ························１４２
商品期貨通道指標(biāo)穿越零: 零值ＣＣＩ ···················１４５
商品期貨選擇指標(biāo) (ＣＳＩ) ························１４９
信心指標(biāo)·································１５３
反向意見: 逆向思維投資藝術(shù)························１５４
估波曲線 (估波指南) ···························１５５
累計(jì)凈值線································１６２
累積成交量指標(biāo)······························１６３
時(shí)間和價(jià)格周期······························１６３
數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)間和價(jià)格周期····························１７５
數(shù)據(jù)探索、數(shù)據(jù)挖掘時(shí)間和價(jià)格周期····················１７６
月內(nèi)之日時(shí)間和價(jià)格周期··························１７６
周內(nèi)之日·································１８５
十年形態(tài)、十年周期···························１９０
ＤＥＭＡ·································１９５
需求指標(biāo) (ＤＩ) ·····························１９５
背離停損，凱斯自適應(yīng)性背離停損······················１９６
帝納波利點(diǎn)位，斐波那契盈利目標(biāo)······················１９６
動(dòng)向指標(biāo) (ＤＭＩ) ····························１９９
較低的平均動(dòng)向 (ＡＤＸ): 暴風(fēng)雨前的平靜··················２０３
背離分析·································２０４
唐奇安的四周規(guī)則·····························２０７
雙指數(shù)移動(dòng)平均線 (ＤＥＭＡ) ·······················２０７
道氏理論·································２１１
鄧尼根的單向公式·····························２４１
鄧尼根的沖力方法·····························２４１
有效市場(chǎng)假說·······························２４２
艾爾德射線································２４２
終點(diǎn)移動(dòng)平均線 (ＥＰＭＡ) ························２４３
包絡(luò)線、移動(dòng)平均包絡(luò)線和交易帶·····················２４３
凈值下降比率·······························２４７
探索性數(shù)據(jù)分析······························２４７
指數(shù)移動(dòng)平均線 (ＥＭＡ)，指數(shù)平滑移動(dòng)平均線 ···············２４７
斐波那契數(shù)列，斐波那契周期························２５６
強(qiáng)力指數(shù)·································２６１
傅里葉分析: 快速傅里葉變換························２６１
基金凈申購(gòu)指數(shù)······························２６５
ＣＳＩ永久合約期貨滾動(dòng)算法·······················２６６
期貨合約: 到期月份和符號(hào)·························２６７
江恩角··································２６８
江恩九方圖································２７２
通用汽車充當(dāng)市場(chǎng)領(lǐng)頭羊股票························２７４
格羅斯三一指數(shù)······························２７８
霍蘭指數(shù)·································２７９
哈里克獲利指標(biāo)······························２８３
高動(dòng)量交易系統(tǒng)······························２８６
高低點(diǎn)邏輯指數(shù)······························２８７
興登堡兇兆································２８８
圣杯指標(biāo)·································２８９
鉤形指標(biāo)·································２８９
假設(shè)檢驗(yàn)·································２９０
指標(biāo)季節(jié)———艾爾德概念·························２９０
指標(biāo)季節(jié)———科爾比變量·························２９１
指標(biāo)季節(jié)———科爾比變量指標(biāo)策略舉例···················２９１
慣性指標(biāo)·································２９９
內(nèi)部人賣出/買入比率···························２９９
市場(chǎng)間背離································３０６
日內(nèi)交易、當(dāng)日交易、日內(nèi)價(jià)格行為····················３０６
一月份晴雨表·······························３１０
一月份效應(yīng)································３１４
一月份前五日: 一個(gè) “早期預(yù)警” 系統(tǒng)···················３１５
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