氣候變化背景下的洪水風險管理

Foreword3
Preface5
Foreword7
Preface11
Acknowledgements13
Definitions15
Acronyms and abbreviations21
Chapter 1Flood risk management1
1.1The global flood problem4
1.2Problem context8
1.3Flood risk15
1.4How do we manage flood risk?17
1.5Systems view of flood risk
management19
1.6Conclusions23
1.7Exercises24
Chapter 2Climate change and risk of
flooding25
2.1Floods and their physical
characteristics27
2.2Climate change and variation
impacts35
2.3Approaches for dealing with
climate change49
2.4Conclusions55
2.5Exercises57
Chapter 3Risk management as adaptation to
climate change59
3.1Flood risk management decision
process63
3.2Approaches to flood risk management
as adaptation to climate change74
3.3An example: Climate changecaused flood
risk to municipal infrastructure,City
of London (Ontario,Canada)82
3.4Conclusions124
3.5Exercises125
Chapter 4Risk management: probabilistic
approach127
4.1Mathematical definition of risk129
4.2Classification of risk135
4.3Risk criteria138
4.4Probabilistic risk modeling141
4.5Probabilistic tools for flood risk
management147
4.6Conclusions213
4.7Exercises214
Chapter 5Risk management: fuzzy set
approach217
5.1Paradigm change219
5.2Introduction to fuzzy sets222
5.3Fuzzy risk definition241
5.4Fuzzy tools for flood risk management
under climate change249
5.5Conclusions307
5.6Exercises308
Chapter 6Future perspectives311
6.1Understanding climate change and
flood risk management313
6.2Adaptive flood risk management
under climate change316
6.3Risk communication319
6.4Conclusions323
References325
譯著序言3
譯者的話5
序言7
前言11
致謝13
術語15
縮略詞21
第1章洪水風險管理1
1.1全球洪水問題4
1.2洪水問題的內涵8
1.3洪水風險15
1.4如何管理洪水風險17
1.5洪水風險管理的系統(tǒng)觀點19
1.6結論23
1.7練習題24
第2章氣候變化與洪水風險25
2.1洪水及其物理特性27
2.2氣候變化和變異的影響35
2.3氣候變化的應對措施49
2.4結論55
2.5練習題57
第3章適應氣候變化的風險管理59
3.1洪水風險管理決策過程63
3.2適應氣候變化的洪水風險管理
措施74
3.3案例： 氣候變化導致加拿大安大略省
London市市政基礎設施
洪水風險82
3.4結論124
3.5練習題125
第4章風險管理： 概率法127
4.1風險的數(shù)學定義129
4.2風險類型135
4.3風險標準138
4.4概率風險模型的建立141
4.5洪水風險管理的概率工具147
4.6結論213
4.7練習題214
第5章風險管理： 模糊集方法217
5.1模式轉變219
5.2模糊集介紹222
5.3模糊風險的定義241
5.4氣候變化條件下洪水風險管理中的
模糊工具249
5.5結論307
5.6練習題308
第6章未來前景311
6.1了解氣候變化與洪水風險管理313
6.2氣候變化背景下適應性洪水風險
管理316
6.3風險溝通319
6.4結束語323
參考文獻325